“I think Ron Paul is going to be in it for a long time, but I don’t think he’s a viable national candidate,” said Iowa’s veteran GOP Sen. Chuck Grassley on Wednesday during an appearance on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.”
Just look at the Iowa entrance polls conducted by a media consortium to see Paul’s promise and problems. On the one hand, he won a plurality of men in Iowa – taking 24 percent of the male vote. He was the overwhelming favorite of young voters, winning almost half the ballots cast by people aged 18 to 29.
Source: Iowa caucus results: Where does Ron Paul go from here? (+Video)
http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/The-Vote/2012/0104/Iowa-caucus-results-Where-does-Ron-Paul-go-from-here-Video
"The campaign is talking about slow growth," said John Dennis, who lost a congressional race two years ago against then-House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and now is a key organizer for Paul. "People say Ron Paul can get only 21 percent and that's it. They forget the base was 10 percent four months ago, and there's very little attrition."
Dennis said Paul's aggressive retort to Gingrich was a reminder that his opponents in the race have to take him seriously.
Source: Ron Paul charges ahead after Iowa, by Carla Marinucci,Joe Holley
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2012/01/04/MNVH1ML2KH.DTL
So the fact that the Iowa caucuses avoided giving the gold to Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul or some other sure-to-lose candidate shows that Republicans are dead serious about beating Obama this fall. Even in Iowa, the only Republican with a chance of doing that won.
Ron Paul is not electable as president for several reasons, including that he is only a congressman, is bad on illegal immigration, favors drug legalization and is off the charts on foreign policy.
(But it would serve the rest of the world right to have Paul running the show for a term or two. Then they'd find out what it's like to be entirely on their own, protecting their own sea and air lanes, digging themselves out of their own earthquakes, getting invaded and nuked by hostile powers, having their computers hacked by terrorists and buying oil from the new Islamic caliphate. After eight years of President Paul, it would be generations before we'd hear a peep of anti-American sentiment again.)
Source: Iowa shows Republicans determined to beat Obama, by Ann Coulter
http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=48571
First the “Preference Poll”, which the media will announce that the candidate with the most votes is the ‘winner’ of the Iowa Caucus. Second was the vote to send delegates from each precinct to the county convention. Few stick around for this vote, it is typically symbolic as the results of the caucus is usually binding, but not this year in Iowa. Ron Paul may not have had the plurality of ‘Preference Poll’ votes, but due to impressive caucus training, he may very well have had the most supporters stick around to become delegates to the county level, which in turn elect delegates to district, then state, and national conventions.
Now what does it mean to have a slate of Ron Paul supporting National Delegates from Iowa, probably not much. If another candidate gains the majority of delegates without Iowa’s as would happen in a typical race, the worst that could happen would be some rogue delegates changing their vote to Paul in a largely symbolic move, having no impact on the result of the race. But, if no candidate reaches 1144 delegates without Iowa’s 25 this could be a minor component to the perfect storm.
Source: Perfect Storm for Brokered Republican Convention? Ron Paul May Play Kingmaker, by Dustin Krutsinger
http://caffeinatedthoughts.com/2012/01/perfect-storm-for-brokered-republican-convention-ron-paul-may-play-kingmaker/
Tidak ada komentar:
Posting Komentar